Appendix

Notation and Symbols

Grouped by where each symbol first does real work. Where a letter is used twice, both meanings are listed together and the note says how to tell them apart.

The Loan

Symbol Meaning
$L$ Original loan principal
$i$ Monthly interest rate, $w/12$
$N$ Number of monthly payments (360 for a 30-year loan)
$M$ Fixed monthly payment
$B_k$, $B_t$ Outstanding balance (UPB) after payment $k$, or at time $t$
$w$, $w_t$ Mortgage note rate, or the pool's coupon

The Pool

Symbol Meaning
$\text{WAC}$ Weighted average coupon — balance-weighted note rate across the pool
$\text{WALA}$ Weighted average loan age, in months
$\text{WAM}$ Weighted average maturity — months of contractual term remaining
$\text{CPR}$ Conditional prepayment rate, annualized
$\text{SMM}$ Single monthly mortality — the monthly form of CPR
$\text{PSA}$ Public Securities Association prepayment benchmark
$B_j$, $C_j$, $A_j$, $R_j$ Current balance, note rate, age (months) and remaining term (months) of loan $j$ in a pool

Rates and Discounting

Symbol Meaning
$r$, $r_t$ Short rate or discount rate
$\text{SOFR}$ Secured Overnight Financing Rate
$y(t,T)$ Zero rate for maturity $T$ seen at $t$
$P(0,T)$, $P(t,T)$ Price at time $0$ (or $t$) of \$1 paid at$T$— the discount factor for maturity$T$
$s$ Constant spread added to the discount curve — the quantity an OAS solve returns
$\text{OAS}$ Option-adjusted spread

Stochastic Dynamics

Symbol Meaning
$W_t, \tilde{W}_t$ Brownian motion under $\mathbb{P}$ and $\mathbb{Q}$
$\mathbb{P}$, $\mathbb{Q}$ Real-world measure and the risk-neutral (pricing) measure
$a$ Speed of mean reversion in the short-rate SDE
$\theta$, $\theta_t$ Long-run level the short rate is pulled toward
$\sigma_r$ Volatility of the short rate
$\rho$ Correlation between two driving Brownian motions
$\eta_t$ Market price of risk (Girsanov drift adjustment)
$Q_n$ Quadratic variation of a path over an $n$-step partition
$\tau_b$ First passage time to level $b$

Options and Survival

Symbol Meaning
$S_0$, $S_t$ Spot price of the underlying asset, in the option chapters
$S(t)$ Survival probability, $\mathbb{P}(T>t)$ — a different quantity
$K$ Strike, or the refinance threshold that plays its part
$T$ Maturity, or the horizon of a survival calculation
$\lambda_t$ Prepayment intensity (continuous-time hazard rate)
$\Phi(\cdot)$ Standard-normal cumulative distribution
$\mathbb{E}^{\mathbb{Q}}[\,\cdot\,]$ Expectation under the pricing measure

The letter $S$ carries two standard meanings that this book cannot avoid, because each is the convention in its own field: $S_t$ is the spot price in option pricing, and $S(t)$ is the survival function in survival analysis. The subscript is the tell — $S_t$ with a subscript is a price, $S(t)$ with an argument is a probability, and the two never appear in the same derivation.

Risk Measures

Symbol Meaning
$\text{DV01}$ Dollar value of a basis point: $(P_{-} - P_{+})/2$, with $P_{\pm}$ the price after a one-basis-point rise or fall of the whole curve
$\text{CV01}$ Dollar convexity for a one-basis-point move: the second difference $P_{+} + P_{-} - 2P_0$
$\text{KRD}_k$ Key rate duration for tenor bucket $k$: $(P_{-,k} - P_{+,k})/2$ with only knot $k$ bumped

General conventions used throughout: $\log$ and $\ln$ both mean the natural logarithm; $^\top$ is the transpose; $\mathbb{1}\{\cdot\}$ and $\mathbb{I}_{\{\cdot\}}$ are indicators, 1 when the condition holds and 0 otherwise; $(x)^+ = \max(x, 0)$; $\mathcal{L}$ is a loss function; $\Phi$ and $\phi$ are the standard normal CDF and density; $\mathcal{N}(\mu, \sigma^2)$ is the normal law with mean $\mu$ and variance $\sigma^2$; $\theta$, $\phi$, $\psi$ as subscripts on a network ($f_\theta$, $\mu_\phi$) are its trainable weights, while a bare $\theta$ or $\theta_t$ is the short rate's mean-reversion level.